Rent vs. own: Between a rock and a hard place

posted by Louise Auerhahn

Tuesday, April 15, 2008, at

Finding affordable housing may be the toughest financial challenge that most Silicon Valley residents face. Whether you rent or own your home, the last few months have not been good.

Caught by the nationwide mortgage meltdown, in Santa Clara County alone tens of thousands of homeowners are at risk of losing their homes. This chart pretty much says it all:

According to foreclosures.com, 3,133 Santa Clara County homeowners received notices of default on their mortgages in the first quarter on 2008 -- an increase of 64% over the first quarter of last year, and five times the number of defaults in Q1 of 2001. (A notice of default is the first step in the foreclosure process; not all of these homes will end up in foreclosure.)

Renters are feeling the pain too.(Continued...)
To afford a modest 2-bedroom apartment for their family, a worker in Santa Clara County must earn a minimum of $24.87 per hour, according to a study released last week by Housing California and the National Low Income Housing Coalition. That's $51,720 annually. At least a third of all county households had incomes below that standard last year.

And there's worse: these numbers are based on the "Fair Market Rent" for 2008, which was set by federal agency HUD at 40% of median rent last year -- $1,293 for a 2-BR in Santa Clara County. But as more families lose their homes or are reluctant to buy, there are more folks looking to rent, so rents have been shooting up. In San Jose, rents rose by an estimated 14.5% last year and are projected to grow another 7.8% this year, according to the Business Journal.

In addition to rising rents, renters are also being hit by the fallout of the mortgage crisis. The New York Times reported on Sunday that even renters are not immune from the mortgage crisis; as landlords are hit by foreclosures, tenants are increasingly being forced out of their homes. The NYT quotes Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Economy.com, saying, "Landlords of all stripes could potentially get caught up in this very severe downturn. I suspect that it's going to be more of a problem for lower- to middle-income markets."

Local nonprofit organizations like Neighborhood Housing Services Silicon Valley, Project Sentinel, and ACORN Housing are urgently trying to help homeowners avoid foreclosure. If you are having trouble keeping up with your mortgage, or believe you may have been the victim of predatory lending, contact one of these agencies -- they may be able to help. Project Sentinel also helps renters.

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